Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 11.178654 12.526576 14.011971 15.777129 17.826349 20.140916 22.967835
2025-11-09 9.161196 10.877419 12.911169 15.522754 18.821814 22.897351 28.386411
2025-11-16 8.002914 9.874068 12.202297 15.356061 19.585326 25.162139 33.246550
2025-11-23 7.080940 8.997499 11.473968 14.972724 19.895380 26.743632 37.305978
2025-11-30 6.466998 8.428241 11.046787 14.885924 20.524655 28.761682 42.222067
2025-12-07 5.806624 7.720498 10.343142 14.304670 20.330825 29.497661 45.228449
2025-12-14 5.209767 7.042919 9.610080 13.586549 19.819155 29.638046 47.228856
2025-12-21 4.819089 6.621947 9.201377 13.298241 19.916034 30.721090 50.962185
2025-12-28 4.893949 6.875134 9.793692 14.592049 22.676006 36.560768 64.305662
2026-01-04 4.714978 6.733422 9.772473 14.901066 23.824345 39.767154 73.302848
2026-01-11 4.397723 6.357397 9.356352 14.517584 23.720132 40.668092 77.778639
2026-01-18 4.286171 6.290393 9.420196 14.940793 25.093876 44.533475 89.387513
2026-01-25 4.045882 6.013361 9.138544 14.767346 25.398228 46.451673 97.331828
2026-02-01 3.814183 5.735784 8.836772 14.532295 25.562712 48.124043 105.158775
2026-02-08 3.619372 5.504802 8.594479 14.378702 25.861637 50.116743 114.295995
2026-02-15 3.407383 5.232074 8.261276 14.025278 25.713722 51.101789 121.034334
2026-02-22 3.258614 5.055962 8.082425 13.945229 26.117480 53.396762 132.058027
2026-03-01 3.049347 4.765541 7.684035 13.408941 25.493902 53.187175 135.723931
2026-03-08 2.836139 4.457937 7.237771 12.745802 24.529840 52.026642 136.233125
2026-03-15 2.697502 4.272532 7.000687 12.479383 24.413455 52.950258 143.648914
2026-03-22 2.775614 4.469087 7.469658 13.674140 27.734632 63.241993 186.067490
2026-03-29 2.722640 4.429320 7.496904 13.959194 28.982211 68.300645 212.271106
2026-04-05 2.591053 4.241234 7.232704 13.605432 28.650233 68.893794 221.545821